← Back to matches
🏴 Premier League2025/26
Man City
Home
2 – 1
18:30
Arsenal
Away
low confidence
Model v1.0.0Win · Draw · Loss
Man City41%
Draw40%
Arsenal19%
Goals · Over / Under 2.5
OVER 2.5Over 2.561%
Under 2.539%
GG / NG · Both Teams to Score
GGGG (both teams score)62%
NG (at least one doesn't score)38%
👤 Player Stats
Per-player probability to: Score = scores · Shots = 1+ shot on target · Assist = provides an assist. (recency-weighted rates × expected goals)
Man City
Erling Haaland
Score35%
Shots74%
Assist20%
Antoine Semenyo
Score26%
Shots51%
Assist5%
Jérémy Doku
Score23%
Shots46%
Assist23%
Nico González
Score10%
Shots31%
Assist5%
Rayan Cherki
Score7%
Shots42%
Assist24%
Nico O'Reilly
Score6%
Shots46%
Assist5%
Phil Foden
Score5%
Shots26%
Assist15%
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Score4%
Shots17%
Assist4%
Arsenal
Viktor Gyökeres
Score30%
Shots48%
Assist8%
Kai Havertz
Score23%
Shots32%
Assist21%
Bukayo Saka
Score16%
Shots38%
Assist16%
Leandro Trossard
Score13%
Shots44%
Assist21%
Eberechi Eze
Score11%
Shots35%
Assist3%
Noni Madueke
Score10%
Shots34%
Assist3%
Riccardo Calafiori
Score4%
Shots24%
Assist3%
Martín Zubimendi
Score3%
Shots6%
Assist2%
Predictions are for entertainment only. Model accuracy: ~52% (result) · ~58% (over/under).